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Strong 75/100

DIETFITS — Effect of low-fat vs low-carbohydrate diet on 12-month weight loss

In plain English

609 adults were randomised to a healthy low-fat or a healthy low-carbohydrate diet — both emphasising whole, minimally processed foods with no calorie target — for twelve months. Average weight loss was essentially the same in both groups (about 5.3 kg vs 6.0 kg), and neither a person's insulin secretion nor their diet-related genotype predicted which approach worked better, debunking a popular personalisation theory. The lesson the authors drew was that food quality, not the fat-versus-carb axis, is what counts.

Why it matters

Healthy low-fat and healthy low-carb diets produced the same weight loss — and genes and insulin didn't predict who did better.

Informs: Weight Loss·Diabetes

Provenance

Design
Randomised controlled trial
Sample size (n)
609
Follow-up
1 years
Peer-reviewed
Yes
Replications
1
Funding
Mixed (public + private/non-profit)
Funders
US National Institutes of Health, Nutrition Science Initiative, Stanford Clinical and Translational Science Award
Institutions
Stanford University School of Medicine

decades.plus score

A transparent 0–100 weighted sum across six components. Higher scores reflect bigger, cleaner, more replicated work.

Strong 75/100
  • Study design 25/25
  • Sample size 7/20
  • Funding independence 12/20
  • Journal + peer review 15/15
  • Institution tier 10/10
  • Replication 6/10

Caveats

Both arms focused on whole foods and cutting added sugar and refined grains, so the trial does not test typical junk-food versions of either diet. Weight change varied enormously between individuals within each group, which a single average obscures, and the one-year horizon leaves long-term maintenance untested.