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Landmark 86/100

Carbohydrate quality and human health — dietary fibre and whole grains

In plain English

Commissioned by the WHO to settle how much dietary fibre actually matters, this synthesis pooled 185 prospective studies (covering roughly 135 million person-years) and 58 clinical trials. People eating the most fibre had 15-30% lower all-cause and cardiovascular mortality, and 16-24% lower incidence of coronary heart disease, stroke, type 2 diabetes and colorectal cancer than those eating the least. The protective sweet spot was 25-29 g of fibre a day, with more conferring additional benefit — most adults eat far less.

Why it matters

Eating 25-29 g+ of fibre daily cut mortality and the big four chronic diseases by 15-30%.

Informs: Heart Disease·Stroke·Cancer·Diabetes

Provenance

Design
Meta-analysis
Sample size (n)
4,635
Follow-up
40 years
Peer-reviewed
Yes
Replications
3
Funding
Public / academic
Funders
Health Research Council of New Zealand, World Health Organization, Riddet Institute
Institutions
University of Otago, University of Dundee

decades.plus score

A transparent 0–100 weighted sum across six components. Higher scores reflect bigger, cleaner, more replicated work.

Landmark 86/100
  • Study design 25/25
  • Sample size 10/20
  • Funding independence 20/20
  • Journal + peer review 15/15
  • Institution tier 6/10
  • Replication 10/10

Caveats

The trials underpinning the causal claim are smaller and shorter than the observational base; fibre intake also tracks with overall diet quality, so part of the benefit reflects whole dietary patterns, not fibre in isolation. Evidence was rated moderate for fibre, lower for glycaemic index.