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Strong 75/100

SELECT — Semaglutide and cardiovascular outcomes in obesity without diabetes

In plain English

SELECT tested whether weight-loss medication actually prevents heart attacks: 17,604 adults with established cardiovascular disease and overweight or obesity — but not diabetes — were randomised to weekly semaglutide 2.4 mg or placebo and followed for over three years. Semaglutide cut major adverse cardiovascular events (heart attack, stroke, cardiovascular death) by 20%. It was the first hard-outcome proof that treating obesity with a GLP-1 drug reduces cardiovascular events, moving these medicines from cosmetic to genuinely preventive.

Why it matters

In people with obesity and heart disease, semaglutide cut major cardiovascular events 20% over ~3 years.

Informs: Weight Loss·Heart Disease·Diabetes

Provenance

Design
Randomised controlled trial
Sample size (n)
17,604
Follow-up
3.3 years
Peer-reviewed
Yes
Replications
1
Funding
Industry-funded
Funders
Novo Nordisk
Institutions
Cleveland Clinic, University College London, University of Edinburgh

decades.plus score

A transparent 0–100 weighted sum across six components. Higher scores reflect bigger, cleaner, more replicated work.

Strong 75/100
  • Study design 25/25
  • Sample size 15/20
  • Funding independence 4/20
  • Journal + peer review 15/15
  • Institution tier 10/10
  • Replication 6/10

Caveats

Manufacturer-funded (Novo Nordisk), which our score penalises. Participants all had pre-existing cardiovascular disease, so the result may not extend to lower-risk people, and how much of the benefit comes from weight loss itself versus the drug's other effects on inflammation and blood vessels is still being untangled.